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ABSTRACT We assess the possibility of detecting both eccentricity and gas effects (migration and accretion) in the gravitational wave (GW) signal from LISA massive black hole binaries at redshift $z=1$. Gas induces a phase correction to the GW signal with an effective amplitude ($$C_{\rm g}$$) and a semimajor axis dependence (assumed to follow a power-law with slope $$n_{\rm g}$$). We use a complete model of the LISA response and employ a gas-corrected post-Newtonian inspiral-only waveform model TaylorF2Ecc. By using the Fisher formalism and Bayesian inference, we constrain $$C_{\rm g}$$ together with the initial eccentricity $$e_0$$, the total redshifted mass $$M_z$$, the primary-to-secondary mass ratio q, the dimensionless spins $$\chi _{1,2}$$ of both component BHs, and the time of coalescence $$t_c$$. We find that simultaneously constraining $$C_{\rm g}$$ and $$e_0$$ leads to worse constraints on both parameters with respect to when considered individually. For a standard thin viscous accretion disc around $$M_z=10^5~{\rm M}_{\odot }$$, $q=8$, $$\chi _{1,2}=0.9$$, and $$t_c=4$$ years MBHB, we can confidently measure (with a relative error of $$\lt 50$$ per cent) an Eddington ratio $${\rm f}_{\rm Edd}\sim 0.1$$ for a circular binary and $${\rm f}_{\rm Edd}\sim 1$$ for an eccentric system assuming $$\mathcal {O}(10)$$ stronger gas torque near-merger than at the currently explored much-wider binary separations. The minimum measurable eccentricity is $$e_0\gtrsim 10^{-2.75}$$ in vacuum and $$e_0\gtrsim 10^{-2}$$ in gas. A weak environmental perturbation ($${\rm f}_{\rm Edd}\lesssim 1$$) to a circular binary can be mimicked by an orbital eccentricity during inspiral, implying that an electromagnetic counterpart would be required to confirm the presence of an accretion disc. 

ABSTRACT We explore the eccentricity measurement threshold of Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) for gravitational waves radiated by massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) with redshifted BH masses Mz in the range 104.5–107.5 M⊙ at redshift z = 1. The eccentricity can be an important tracer of the environment where MBHBs evolve to reach the merger phase. To consider LISA’s motion and apply the time delay interferometry, we employ the lisabeta software and produce year-long eccentric waveforms using the inspiral-only post-Newtonian model taylorf2ecc. We study the minimum measurable eccentricity (emin, defined one year before the merger) analytically by computing matches and Fisher matrices, and numerically via Bayesian inference by varying both intrinsic and extrinsic parameters. We find that emin strongly depends on Mz and weakly on mass ratio and extrinsic parameters. Match-based signal-to-noise ratio criterion suggest that LISA will be able to detect emin ∼ 10−2.5 for lighter systems (Mz ≲ 105.5 M⊙) and ∼10−1.5 for heavier MBHBs with a 90 per cent confidence. Bayesian inference with Fisher initialization and a zero noise realization pushes this limit to emin ∼ 10−2.75 for lower-mass binaries, assuming a <50 per cent relative error. Bayesian inference can recover injected eccentricities of 0.1 and 10−2.75 for a 105 M⊙ system with an ∼10−2 per cent and an ∼10 per cent relative errors, respectively. Stringent Bayesian odds criterion ($$\ln {\mathcal {B}}\gt 8$$) provides nearly the same inference. Both analytical and numerical methodologies provide almost consistent results for our systems of interest. LISA will launch in a decade, making this study valuable and timely for unlocking the mysteries of the MBHB evolution. 

ABSTRACT Understanding what shapes the cold gas component of galaxies, which both provides the fuel for star formation and is strongly affected by the subsequent stellar feedback, is a crucial step towards a better understanding of galaxy evolution. Here, we analyse the H i properties of a sample of 46 Milky Way halo-mass galaxies, drawn from cosmological simulations (EMP-Pathfinder and Firebox). This set of simulations comprises galaxies evolved self-consistently across cosmic time with different baryonic sub-grid physics: three different star formation models [constant star formation efficiency (SFE) with different star formation eligibility criteria, and an environmentally dependent, turbulence-based SFE] and two different feedback prescriptions, where only one sub-sample includes early stellar feedback. We use these simulations to assess the impact of different baryonic physics on the H i content of galaxies. We find that the galaxy-wide H i properties agree with each other and with observations. However, differences appear for small-scale properties. The thin H i discs observed in the local universe are only reproduced with a turbulence-dependent SFE and/or early stellar feedback. Furthermore, we find that the morphology of H i discs is particularly sensitive to the different physics models: galaxies simulated with a turbulence-based SFE have discs that are smoother and more rotationally symmetric, compared to those simulated with a constant SFE; galaxies simulated with early stellar feedback have more regular discs than supernova-feedback-only galaxies. We find that the rotational asymmetry of the H i discs depends most strongly on the underlying physics model, making this a promising observable for understanding the physics responsible for shaping the interstellar medium of galaxies. 

ABSTRACT Accurately reproducing the thin cold gas discs observed in nearby spiral galaxies has been a long standing issue in cosmological simulations. Here, we present measurements of the radially resolved H i scale height in 22 non-interacting Milky Way-mass galaxies from the FIREbox cosmological volume. We measure the H i scale heights using five different approaches commonly used in the literature: fitting the vertical volume density distribution with a Gaussian, the distance between maximum and half-maximum of the vertical volume density distribution, a semi-empirical description using the velocity dispersion and the galactic gravitational potential, the analytic assumption of hydrostatic equilibrium, and the distance from the midplane which encloses ≳60 per cent of the H i mass. We find median H i scale heights, measured using the vertical volume distribution, that range from ∼100 pc in the galactic centres to ∼800 pc in the outskirts and are in excellent agreement with recent observational results. We speculate that the presence of a realistic multiphase interstellar medium, including cold gas, and realistic stellar feedback are the drivers behind the realistic H i scale heights. 

ABSTRACT We perform a consistent comparison of the mass and mass profiles of massive (M⋆ > 1011.4 M⊙) central galaxies at z ∼ 0.4 from deep Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) observations and from the Illustris, TNG100, and Ponos simulations. Weak lensing measurements from HSC enable measurements at fixed halo mass and provide constraints on the strength and impact of feedback at different halo mass scales. We compare the stellar mass function (SMF) and the Stellar-to-Halo Mass Relation (SHMR) at various radii and show that the radius at which the comparison is performed is important. In general, Illustris and TNG100 display steeper values of α where $$M_{\star } \propto M_{\rm vir}^{\alpha }$$. These differences are more pronounced for Illustris than for TNG100 and in the inner rather than outer regions of galaxies. Differences in the inner regions may suggest that TNG100 is too efficient at quenching in situ star formation at Mvir ≃ 1013 M⊙ but not efficient enough at Mvir ≃ 1014 M⊙. The outer stellar masses are in excellent agreement with our observations at Mvir ≃ 1013 M⊙, but both Illustris and TNG100 display excess outer mass as Mvir ≃ 1014 M⊙ (by ∼0.25 and ∼0.12 dex, respectively). We argue that reducing stellar growth at early times in $$M_\star \sim 10^{9-10} \, \mathrm{M}_{\odot }$$ galaxies would help to prevent excess ex-situ growth at this mass scale. The Ponos simulations do not implement AGN feedback and display an excess mass of ∼0.5 dex at r < 30 kpc compared to HSC which is indicative of overcooling and excess star formation in the central regions. The comparison of the inner profiles of Ponos and HSC suggests that the physical scale over which the central AGN limits star formation is r ≲ 20 kpc. Joint comparisons between weak lensing and galaxy stellar profiles are a direct test of whether simulations build and deposit galaxy mass in the correct dark matter haloes and thereby provide powerful constraints on the physics of feedback and galaxy growth. Our galaxy and weak lensing profiles are publicly available to facilitate comparisons with other simulations. 

Abstract The Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will be a transformative experiment for gravitational wave astronomy, and, as such, it will offer unique opportunities to address many key astrophysical questions in a completely novel way. The synergy with ground-based and space-born instruments in the electromagnetic domain, by enabling multi-messenger observations, will add further to the discovery potential of LISA. The next decade is crucial to prepare the astrophysical community for LISA’s first observations. This review outlines the extensive landscape of astrophysical theory, numerical simulations, and astronomical observations that are instrumental for modeling and interpreting the upcoming LISA datastream. To this aim, the current knowledge in three main source classes for LISA is reviewed; ultra-compact stellar-mass binaries, massive black hole binaries, and extreme or interme-diate mass ratio inspirals. The relevant astrophysical processes and the established modeling techniques are summarized. Likewise, open issues and gaps in our understanding of these sources are highlighted, along with an indication of how LISA could help making progress in the different areas. New research avenues that LISA itself, or its joint exploitation with upcoming studies in the electromagnetic domain, will enable, are also illustrated. Improvements in modeling and analysis approaches, such as the combination of numerical simulations and modern data science techniques, are discussed. This review is intended to be a starting point for using LISA as a new discovery tool for understanding our Universe.